Yes, I'm working on the reservoir project with SEI-US. I can't speak on behalf of the rest of the article, but I can note a couple other things.
One is that the streamflow projections contain that disclaimer language because they are not direct predictions of streamflow on a particular day. Meaning that the data cannot accurately predict …
Yes, I'm working on the reservoir project with SEI-US. I can't speak on behalf of the rest of the article, but I can note a couple other things.
One is that the streamflow projections contain that disclaimer language because they are not direct predictions of streamflow on a particular day. Meaning that the data cannot accurately predict the flow precisely for April 7, 2044 (for example). Rather, it tries to capture both the random variability of weather plus the effects of background trends over time (generally, but not always, more winter precipitation falling as rain, earlier snowmelt, etc). There are even ten different sets of predictions used. These are all looked at together to capture the reasonable range of conditions we can expect. This is common practice in this field. Can we precisely predict the flow on a given day in 30 years? No. Can we make a good guess of the expected range of future conditions? Yes. The goal here is to be able to test if the reservoir would provide its benefits to agriculture and fisheries over the course of its lifecycle, looking forward the next 50 years.
The other note is that I've worked here for 6 years and I've never even heard of ICLEI until now. I was hired because of my specific knowledge in calculating water models. In fact, our org's rates are pretty competitive compared to other firms in this field if I say so myself- great news for taxpayers!
Yes, I'm working on the reservoir project with SEI-US. I can't speak on behalf of the rest of the article, but I can note a couple other things.
One is that the streamflow projections contain that disclaimer language because they are not direct predictions of streamflow on a particular day. Meaning that the data cannot accurately predict the flow precisely for April 7, 2044 (for example). Rather, it tries to capture both the random variability of weather plus the effects of background trends over time (generally, but not always, more winter precipitation falling as rain, earlier snowmelt, etc). There are even ten different sets of predictions used. These are all looked at together to capture the reasonable range of conditions we can expect. This is common practice in this field. Can we precisely predict the flow on a given day in 30 years? No. Can we make a good guess of the expected range of future conditions? Yes. The goal here is to be able to test if the reservoir would provide its benefits to agriculture and fisheries over the course of its lifecycle, looking forward the next 50 years.
The other note is that I've worked here for 6 years and I've never even heard of ICLEI until now. I was hired because of my specific knowledge in calculating water models. In fact, our org's rates are pretty competitive compared to other firms in this field if I say so myself- great news for taxpayers!
Thank you for taking time to respond. Your information is much appreciated.